A STOCHASTIC TYPHOON MODEL AND ITS APPLICATION TO THE ESTIMATION OF EXTREMES OF STORM SURGE AND WAVE HEIGHT
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Keywords

wave height
stochastic model
typhoon
typhoon model
surge

How to Cite

Hatada, Y., & Yamaguchi, M. (1996). A STOCHASTIC TYPHOON MODEL AND ITS APPLICATION TO THE ESTIMATION OF EXTREMES OF STORM SURGE AND WAVE HEIGHT. Coastal Engineering Proceedings, 1(25). https://doi.org/10.9753/icce.v25.%p

Abstract

This paper presents a system for estimating extremes of storm surge height and wave height associated with typhoons, which consists of a Monte-Carlo simulation model for probabilistic generation of typhoon characteristics, termed a stochastic typhoon model, a parametric typhoon model for wind estimation, numerical models for the computation of storm surges or waves and an extreme analysis model for estimation of their return values. The system is applied to the estimation of 50 to 1000-year return values and their confidence intervals based on the computations over a period of 1000 years for storm surge heights in Ise Bay connecting to the Pacific Ocean, and for wave heights at some representative locations around the Pacific coast of Japan.
https://doi.org/10.9753/icce.v25.%25p
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