WAVE CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTION AT THE END OF 21ST CENTURY

Tomoya Shimura, Nobuhito Mori, Tracey Tom, Tomohiro Yasuda, Hajime Mase

Abstract


The influence of global climate change due to green house effects will require impact assessment and adaptation strategies for future our society. The sea level rise is a static side issue of climate change and is important for human activity near the coastal zone. On the other hand, waves and storm surge are dynamic side of climate change and will be necessary to take into the consideration for coastal disaster prevention and reduction, if extreme weather events will become stronger than those in the present climate. This study estimate the future ocean wave climate in comparison with those in present climate based on the global atmospheric climate model and global wave model.

Keywords


global warming; wave climate; future projection

References


Mori, N., T. Yasuda, H. Mase, T. Tom and Y. Oku (2010): Projection of extreme wave climate change under the global warming, Hydrological Research Letters, Vol. 4, pp. 15-19.http://dx.doi.org/10.3178/hrl.4.15

Kitoh, A., T. Ose, K. Kurihara, S. Kusunoki, M. Sugi and KAKUSHIN Team-3 Modeling Group (2009): Projection of changes in future weather extremes using super-highresolution global and regional atmospheric models in the kakushin program, Hydrological Research Letters, Vol. 3, pp.49-53.http://dx.doi.org/10.3178/hrl.3.49


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