IMPROVED ESTIMATES OF MEAN SEA LEVEL CHANGES IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN NORTH SEA SINCE 1843
No. 32 (2010), Swash, Nearshore Currents, and Long Waves
No. 32 (2010)

IMPROVED ESTIMATES OF MEAN SEA LEVEL CHANGES IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN NORTH SEA SINCE 1843

Swash, Nearshore Currents, and Long Waves
https://doi.org/10.9753/icce.v32.currents.27
Published 2011-01-29
Juergen Jensen
University of Siegen
Thomas Wahl
University of Siegen
Torsten Frank
University of Siegen
Proceedings of the 32nd International Conference
PDF

Keywords

German Bight
regional sea level changes
tide gauge data
vertical land movements

How to Cite

Jensen, J., Wahl, T., & Frank, T. (2011). IMPROVED ESTIMATES OF MEAN SEA LEVEL CHANGES IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN NORTH SEA SINCE 1843. Coastal Engineering Proceedings, 1(32), currents.27. https://doi.org/10.9753/icce.v32.currents.27
ACM ACS APA ABNT Chicago Harvard IEEE MLA Turabian Vancouver

Download Citation

Endnote/Zotero/Mendeley (RIS) BibTeX

Abstract

This contribution focuses on presenting the results from analysing mean sea level changes in the German Bight, the south-eastern part of the North Sea. Data sets from 13 tide gauges covering the entire German North Sea coastline and the period from 1843 to 2008 have been used to estimate high quality mean sea level time series. The overall results from nonlinear smoothing and linear trend estimations for different time spans are presented. Time series from single tide gauges are analysed as well as different 'virtual station' time series. An accelerated sea level rise in the German Bight is detected for a period at the end of the 19th century and for another one covering the last decades. In addition, different patterns of sea level change are found in the German Bight compared to global patterns, highlighting the urgent need to derive reliable regional sea level projections to be considered in coastal planning strategies.
https://doi.org/10.9753/icce.v32.currents.27
PDF

References

Augath W (1993) Stand und Weiterentwicklung der Höhenuberwachung der niedersächsischen Nordseekuste. Nachrichten der Niedersächsischen Vermessungs- und Katasterverwaltung 43: 78-92.

Beckley BD, Lemoine FG, Luthcke SB, Ray RD, Zelensky NP (2007) A reassessment of global and regional mean sea level trends from TOPEX and Jason-1 altimetry based on revised reference frame and orbits. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L14608. doi:10.1029/2007GL030002, 2007. http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2007GL030002

Cazenave A, Dominh K, Guinehut S, Berthier E, Llovel W, Ramillien G, Ablain M, Larnicol G (2009) Sea level budget over 2003-2008: A reevaluation from GRACE space gravimetry, satellite altimetry and Argo. Global and Planetary Change 65:83-88. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2008.10.004

Chen HL, Rao AR (2002) Testing Hydrologic Time Series for Stationarity, J. Hydrologic Eng., 7( 2), 129-136, doi: 10.1061/(ASCE)1084-0699(2002)7:2(129). http://dx.doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)1084-0699(2002)7:2(129)

Church JA, White NJ (2006) A 20th century acceleration in global sea-level rise. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L01602. doi:10.1029/2005GL024826.http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2005GL024826

Church JA, White NJ, Aarup T, Wilson SW, Woodworth PL, Domingues CM, Hunter JR, Lambeck K (2008) Understanding global sea levels: past, present and future. Sustain Sci 3(1):9-22. doi: 10.1007/s11625-008-0042-4. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11625-008-0042-4

Domingues CM, Church JA, White NJ, Gleckler PJ, Wijffels SE, Barker PM, Dunn JR (2008) Improved estimates of upper-ocean warming and multi-decadal sea-level rise. Nature 453:1090- 1093. doi:10.1038/nature07080. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature07080

Douglas BC (1991) Global Sea Level Rise, J. Geophys. Res. 96(C4):6981-6992. doi:10.1029/91JC00064. http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/91JC00064

Haigh ID, Nicholls RJ, Wells NC (2009) Mean sea-level trends around the English Channel over the 20th century and their wider context. Continental Shelf Research 29:2083-2098. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.csr.2009.07.013

IKÜS (2008) Aufbau eines integrierten Höhenuberwachungssystems in Kustenregionen durch Kombination höhenrelevanter Sensorik (final report). Online available from:

Jensen J, Mugge H-E, Schönfeld W (1990) Development of Water Level Changes in the German Bight - An Analysis Based on Single Value Time Series. Proc. 22nd ICCE, Delft, Netherlands.

Jevrejeva S, Grinsted A, Moore JC, Holgate S (2006) Nonlinear trends and multiyear cycles in sea level records. J. Geophys. Res., 111, C09012. doi:10.1029/2005JC003229. http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2005JC003229

Jevrejeva S, Moore JC, Grinsted A. (2010) How will sea level respond to changes in natural and anthropogenic forcings by 2100?. Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L07703. doi:10.1029/2010GL042947. http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2010GL042947

Lassen H (1989) Örtliche und zeitliche Variationen des Meeresspiegels in der sudöstlichen Nordsee, Die Kuste, 50, 65-96.

Meehl GA, Stocker TF, Collins WD, Friedlingstein P, Gaye AT, Gregory JM, Kitoh A, Knutti R, Murphy JM, Noda A, Raper SCB, Watterson IG, Weaver AJ, Zhao Z-C (2007) Global Climate Projections. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt KB, Tignor M, Miller HL (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.

Miller L, Douglas BC (2007) Gyre-scale atmospheric pressure variations and their relation to 19th and 20th century sea level rise. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L16602. doi:10.1029/2007GL030862. http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2007GL030862

Mudersbach C, Jensen J (2008) Non-stationarities in time series and its integration in extreme value statistics for risk management issues. Proc. of the 31st Int. Conf. on Coastal Engineering (ICCE), Hamburg, Germany.

Mudersbach C, Jensen J (2010) An advanced statistical extreme value model for evaluating storm surge heights considering systematic records and climate scenarios, Proc. 32nd ICCE, Shanghai, China (in prep.).

Peltier WR (2004) Global Glacial Isostasy and the Surface of the Ice-Age Earth: The ICE-5G(VM2) model and GRACE. Ann. Rev. Earth. Planet. Sci. 32:111-149. doi: 10.1146/annurev.earth.32.082503.144359. http://dx.doi.org/10.1146/annurev.earth.32.082503.144359

Pugh D (2004) Changing Sea Levels: Effects of Tides, Weather and Climate. Cambridge Univ. Press, New York.

Rahmstorf S (2007) A Semi-Empirical Approach to Projecting Future Sea-Level Rise, Science, 315, 5810, 368-370. doi: 10.1126/science.1135456. http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1135456

Van Gelder PHAJM., Mai CV, Wang W, Shams G, Rajabalinejad M, Burgmeijer M (2008) Data management of extreme marine and coastal hydro-meteorological events, J. Hyd. Res., 46 (2), 191-210. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00221686.2008.9521954

Vermeer M, Rahmstorf S (2009) Global sea level linked to global temperature. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0907765106.http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0907765106

Wahl T, Jensen J, Frank T (2008) Changing Sea Level and Tidal Dynamics at the German North Sea Coastline. Proc. of the Coastal Cities Summit 2008 - Values and Vulnerabilities, St. Petersburg, Florida, USA .

Wahl T, Jensen J, Frank T (2010) On analysing sea level rise in the German Bight since 1844. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 10:171-179. doi:10.5194/nhess-10-171-2010. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/nhess-10-171-2010

Woodworth PL, Teferle FN, Bingley RM, Shennan I, Williams SDP. (2009) Trends in UK mean sea level revisited. Geophys. J. Int. 176(22):19-30. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-246X.2008.03942.x. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-246X.2008.03942.x

Woodworth PL, Pouvreau N, Wöppelmann G (2010) The gyre-scale circulation of the North Atlantic and sea level at Brest. Ocean Sci. 6:185-190. doi:10.5194/os-6-185-2010.http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/os-6-185-2010

Wöppelmann G, Miguez BM, Bouin M-N, Altamimi Z (2007) Geocentric sea-level trend estimates from GPS analyses at relevant tide gauges world-wide. Global and Planetary Change 57:369-406. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2007.02.002

Wöppelmann G, Letetrel C, Santamaria A, Bouin M-N, Collilieux X, Altamimi Z, Williams SDP, Miguez BM (2009) Rates of sea-level change over the past century in a geocentric reference frame. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L12607. doi:10.1029/2009GL038720. http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2009GL038720

Authors retain copyright and grant the Proceedings right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this Proceedings.

Most read articles by the same author(s)